UPDATED: My commentary now runs throughout. I know you wanted it. Wanted it hard.
The Oscars are tomorrow night and as I do every year, I lay out my predictions in each category of who I think will win, who I think should win, and who actually did win. I probably should have done this earlier to help people with their office Oscar pools. But then again, if you really wanted my help, you could have just asked (as one friend did and he’s going to do better than you). I’ll be updating this tomorrow night as the winners are announced and hopefully wins for Atonement won’t send me into an apoplectic seizure.
Best Picture
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
Did Win:
Best Actor
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis [There Will Be Blood]
Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis [There Will Be Blood]
Did Win:
Best Actress
Will Win: Julie Christie [Away From Her]
Should Win: Marion Cotillard [La Vie en Rose]
Did Win: Marion Cotillard [La Vie en Rose]
Really cute acceptance speech. I’m sure Christie will forgive and forget.
Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Javier Bardem [No Country for Old Men]
Should Win: Casey Affleck [The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford]
Did Win: Javier Bardem [No Country for Old Men]
He loves his mama!!!
Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Cate Blanchett [I’m Not There]
Should Win: Cate Blanchett [I’m Not There]
Did Win: Tilda Swinton [Michael Clayton]
The win was worth if only to remind us all that George Clooney was in Batman & Robin.
Best Director
Will Win: Joel and Ethan Coen [No Country for Old Men]
Should Win: Julian Schnabel [The Diving Bell and the Butterfly]
Did Win:
Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Diablo Cody [Juno]
Should Win: Diablo Cody [Juno]
Did Win: Diablo Cody[Juno
The way this night was going, I thought it may swing to Tony Gilroy for Michael Clayton, but Oscar went with the best choice and I’m so happy they did. I thought Cody was going to do a few kung-fu kicks but tearing up at the end was just as cool.
Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: Joel and Ethan Coen [No Country for Old Men]
Should Win: Joel and Ethan Coen [No Country for Old Men]
Did Win: Joel and Ethan Coen [No Country for Old Men]
Best Animated Feature
Will Win: Ratatouille
Should Win: Ratatouille
Did Win: Ratatouille
Best Documentary Feature
Will Win: No End in Sight
Should Win: No End in Sight
Did Win: Taxi to the Dark Side
Hey, Discovery Channel. Good move choosing not to air the film because it was “too controversial”. HBO gets to show it now, bitches.
Best Foreign-Language Film
Will Win: The Counterfeiters
Did Win: The Counterfeiters
Best Art Direction
Will Win: Atonement
Should Win: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Did Win: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
This was a pleasant surprise (as is any time Atonement loses). I thought Sweeney Todd wouldn’t win it because voters would credit the design more to Tim Burton than to the art designers.
Best Cinematography
Will Win: Roger Deakins [No Country for Old Men]
Should Win: Roger Deakins [The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford]
Did Win: There Will Be Blood
Deakins: Denied! And while I think There Will Be Blood has amazing cinematography, Deakins owned this year.
Best Costume Design
Will Win: Atonement
Should Win: Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
Did Win: Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Best Editing
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
Did Win: The Bourne Ultimatum
Best Make-Up
Will Win: La Vie en Rose
Should Win: Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End
Did Win: La Vie en Rose
Nooo! I can’t say, “The Oscar-winning Norbit”
Best Score
Will Win: Atonement
Should Win: Ratatouille
Did Win: Atonement
Best Song
Will Win: Falling Slowly [Once]
Should Win: Falling Slowly [Once]
Did Win: Falling Slowly [Once]
This is one of the wins that makes me the happiest. Great song, great people, great movie.
Best Sound Editing
Will Win: Transformers
Should Win: Transformers
Did Win: The Bourne Ultimatum
Best Sound Mixing
Will Win: Transformers
Should Win: Transformers
Did Win: The Bourne Ultimatum
Best Visual Effects
Will Win: Transformers
Should Win: Transformers
Did Win: The Golden Compass
Not only did it feature a lot of unnecessary effects, it featured a lot of shitty effects. Usually this category gets it right, but not this year.
Best Documentary Short
Will Win: Freeheld
Did Win: Freeheld
Best Animated Short
Will Win: Peter and the Wolf
Did Win: Peter and the Wolf
Best Live-Action Short
Will Win: Mozart
Did Win: Mozart
A few notes:
- Jon Stewart. Everything Jon Stewart. Especially when he brought Marketa Irglova back to say her acceptance speech.
- The Bourne Ultimatum totally fucked me tonight. I love the film, but damn, did it really screw me on a lot of picks.
- The montage of Best Picture winners shows in a brief few moments that the Oscars fucked-up. A lot.
- I picked all the obscure categories like Best Short Action Film but got murdered on all the ones I was so sure about. The moral: my instincts are wrong and I shall be forever filled with self-doubt.
Ultimately, a pretty good Academy Awards. Some very sweet moments but mostly a subdued affair, which I thought worked well. I only got 14 out of 24 categories correct and with the exception of The Golden Compass, none of the wins really pissed me off.
Tags: movies by Matt
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